What is the development prospect of lithium battery pack industry in the next few years? Where is the development direction?

What is the development prospect of lithium battery pack industry in the next few years? Where is the development direction? Lithium battery affects the industrial reform of new energy fields such as energy storage, and relates to the development of China's new energy vehicle market. With the in-depth development of national environmental protection, the development scale of China's lithium battery industry will become larger and larger in the next few years.
So, what is the future development prospect? Where is the development direction? Let's listen to what these industry leaders say.
1、 Changes in lithium battery application field
Since 2015, the industrial structure of lithium battery packs in China has changed significantly, and the demand for power lithium batteries has grown rapidly. In 2016, the market share of power lithium batteries reached 52%, breaking 50% for the first time and surpassing that of consumer lithium batteries, while in 2015, it was only 47%; The market share of consumer lithium-ion batteries continued to decline, accounting for 42% in 2016, 83% in 2014 and 48% in 2015; The application of energy storage lithium batteries in photovoltaic distributed applications and mobile communication base station energy storage batteries has continued to expand, accounting for 6% in 2016.
2、 Forecast on the sales scale of lithium battery industry:
The key application fields of lithium battery packs in the future will focus on electric tools, light electric vehicles, new energy vehicles and energy storage systems. The industrial scale in these fields will keep doubling in the coming years, which will stimulate the demand for lithium ion batteries. It is expected that the market capacity of lithium battery industry will maintain a steady growth in the next few years, and the sales revenue of China's lithium battery industry will reach 212.9 billion yuan by 2022.
3、 Future development prospect of lithium battery
① New energy vehicles drive the growth of lithium battery packs
Benefiting from the continuous growth of new energy vehicles, the lithium battery industry has ushered in a new round of development opportunities. With the increasing proportion of lithium-ion batteries used in new energy vehicles in China, the lithium-ion battery market has a broad space, and the lithium-ion power battery market is entering a golden age. Compared with traditional batteries, lithium batteries have larger capacity in the same volume, and are green in the production, use and recycling process, so they have been widely used in the field of consumer electronics and energy storage products.
② Large scale energy storage technology promotes the development of power lithium battery industry
Energy storage technology is the strategic support for the transformation of energy structure and the transformation of electricity production and consumption mode in the future. Driven by the development and commercialization trend of energy storage technology, power lithium battery, as one of the leading players in the new energy industry, will also welcome new opportunities for development. The large-scale development of energy storage will promote the extension and integration of the lithium battery industry chain, promote the upstream, midstream and downstream of the power lithium battery industry to connect with the capital, synchronize with the market, and achieve win-win cooperation.
③ The industrial scale is growing steadily, and China's advantages are expected to expand
In 2017, the growth of the main application market of lithium ion battery slowed down. The global scale of lithium ion battery industry in the whole year exceeded 300 billion yuan, with the growth rate declining by 4 percentage points compared with 2016. Driven by the promotion policy of new energy vehicles, China's electric vehicle production reached 650000 in 2017, and its share in the global electric vehicle market will further increase.
④ Power lithium battery leads the growth, and the market share will exceed 60%
Driven strongly by the national financial subsidy, China's new energy vehicle market is expected to expand to 650000 vehicles in 2017, with a year-on-year growth of 25%. With the power tools and other fields, the market size of power lithium-ion battery is expected to reach 30GWh in 2017, with a year-on-year growth of about 30%. To sum up, China's power battery will lead the growth of China's lithium-ion battery market in 2017, and its share is expected to exceed 60%.
⑤ New technology accelerates application and disruptive products are expected
With the increasingly extensive application of lithium batteries in various fields, especially in electric vehicles, new energy, military and other fields, countries and major enterprises have increased their R&D support. At the same time, the preparation technology of advanced materials such as graphene and nano materials has been continuously improved, the integration with the research and development of lithium-ion batteries has been accelerated, and the innovation of the lithium-ion battery industry has been accelerated. Various products have been introduced and put on the market, which is full of gimmicks. In the future, with the continuous progress of various new technologies, new disruptive lithium ion battery products may appear in the application field.
⑥ The lithium battery policy is abrupt, and the industrial pattern is facing major adjustment
In November 2016, the Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology formally solicited opinions from all sectors of the society on the Specifications and Conditions for the Automotive Power Battery Industry (2017). On the basis of this, the annual capacity index requirements for lithium ion power batteries were significantly improved, from the original 0.2GWh/year to 8GWh/year. At present, the market competition of lithium-ion power battery is very fierce, and the industry is at a critical stage of transition. China's lithium-ion battery industry pattern will probably face significant adjustment.
⑦ The development of energy storage will promote lithium battery enterprises to accelerate the layout of the industry
Under the influence of the independent status of the energy storage industry, the power lithium battery industry has accelerated the layout of industrial development. It is expected that the market size of lithium battery industry is expected to grow rapidly in the future with the increase of policy support, technological progress, new energy power and other factors.
4、 Future development direction of lithium battery pack
① Standardization and automation of production process
In the future, the power battery manufacturing will develop in the direction of "three highs and three modernizations", namely, "high quality, high efficiency and high stability" and "informatization, unmanned and visualization". China's lithium battery pack enterprises must also invest more resources to accelerate the intelligent manufacturing of lithium battery packs through technological innovation, automatic production and standardized management.
② High specific energy is the main trend of power battery development
Enterprises and institutions at home and abroad are studying how to improve the energy density of power batteries, so as to improve the range of new energy vehicles.
③ Realize the technical upgrading of thermal management and BMS system on the premise of safety
Security is the most basic attribute that all products should have. In addition, it is also important to improve the technical standards of BMS and reduce the failure probability of power battery caused by battery management system problems.
④ Establish a complete power battery recycling system
The recycling of power battery is mainly divided into two recycling processes: cascade recycling and disassembly recycling. With the expansion of the industrial scale, the recycling channel will become standardized and large-scale, and it is clearly stipulated that electric vehicle enterprises should bear the main recycling responsibility.
In the future, with the further improvement of lithium battery pack production process and battery performance, the compound annual growth rate in the next five years (2017-2021) will be about 17.73%, and the output of lithium ion batteries in China will reach 18.5 billion in 2021. Under the background of continuous high growth of new energy vehicles, the development trend of lithium battery industry will rise step by step, and there will be huge market demand in the future.
Finally, from the perspective of the development trend of power battery, lithium battery is the main force in the future, and all automobile enterprises regard the development of lithium battery as the main direction of new energy vehicles. It is expected that the market size of lithium battery industry is expected to grow rapidly in the future with the increase of policy support, technological progress, new energy power and other factors.